Candidates: The In Conclusion Reckoning

OK, let's larn the prediction materials out of the way. I was correct nigh Leko, Aronian together with Grischuk but incorrect nigh Kamsky. In the destination the rating listing got it right.

Peter Leko was imperious inward Elista. He played precisely ix of the rule 12 games inward total to score +5, =4, -0 for a rating functioning of 2861, although it should live borne inward heed that he played the 2 lowest rated players of the master 16. Along the trend he gave the Caro Kann a fearful battering. That said, he also gave Bareev in 1 lawsuit lead a opportunity to larn on price alongside him, but the Russian missed his lead a opportunity (28...Ne4!!) inward game one. Leko has been some thus long it is amazing to notice that he is yet exclusively 27. Since tying alongside Kramnik inward a heart-breaking footing entitle match, his career has gone slightly backwards, but alongside the confidence generated inward Elista he could good live a competitor inward Mexico.

Boris Gelfand is a fair fleck older than the other qualifiers (he is a few days away from his 39th birthday) but he wears his years well. His run of fourteen games inward Elista was remarkable for the fact that it contained no wins for White. He compaction Kasimdzhanov twice alongside Black inward the rapidplays, together with and thus Kamsky twice alongside Black at standardplay. Looking at the concluding line-up inward Mexico, I don't imagine that Gelfand volition live fancied to win but such is his shape together with sense that he could outpouring a surprise or two.

Levon Aronian was 1 of the starting favourites inward Elista but he sure as shooting didn't lead maintain it easy. He was involved inward what were arguably the 2 most exciting matches. The battle alongside Magnus Carlsen was superlative. The stand upward for alongside Shirov exclusively provided 1 decisive game but 4 of the other 5 games were incredibly difficult fought, complex together with entertaining. Shirov of course of pedagogy must received equal credit for this, but you lot lead maintain to accept your chapeau off to Aronian together with his resourcefulness nether pressure. Given the closeness of his 2 matches, 1 wonders whether he is quite yet ready to accept on the actually big guns at matchplay. He seems to live aware of this himself. In the latest New inward Chess, he was asked whether he had a dream: his answer was "to win a stand upward for against the footing champion". Notice he didn't say "to larn footing champion". But of course of pedagogy in that place are no matches inward United Mexican U.S. together with he has already proved himself inward similar supertournaments, thus he mightiness yet larn footing champion yesteryear the dorsum door.

Alexander Grischuk, nosotros are told, is rather non bad on playing poker these days. Perhaps that makes it all the to a greater extent than remarkable that he has won through to this stage. His get-go game against Rublevsky was a really attractive win together with he looked similar going 2-0 upward inward game three, but he together with thus stalled together with allow things slip. The psychological battle seemed to live going inward favour of Rublevsky, but the older Russian together with thus made the error of trying to replicate his Scotch Game win of game 4 inward the play-offs. Grischuk had plainly done his homework together with took a vicious revenge. Grischuk is undoubtedly really talented but something nigh him makes me mean value he is non fully motivated to win super-tournaments.

Before our thoughts plough to Mexico, in that place is a 9th actor to consider: Topalov. I imagine that in that place may live attempts to shoe-horn him into the tournament. But I would non live inward favour of that. Firstly, it would live extremely unfair on the 12 players who played inward Elista together with did non qualify. Why should Topalov live allowed to boundary over them into the United Mexican U.S. outcome but because he is minute on the rating list? His correct to automatic qualification was ceded equally purpose of the contractual understanding made regarding the Kramnik match. Both players went into it alongside their eyes open. Secondly, the Topalov delegation behaved extremely badly at the footing entitle stand upward for inward Elista together with lead maintain done cipher to deserve exceptional treatment. Rather than trying to notice a trend to include Topalov, FIDE would pass their fourth dimension rather ameliorate investigating his delegation's conduct during the footing entitle stand upward for together with bringing them to book.

Anyway, Topalov mightiness yet larn a rematch alongside Kramnik should the Russian win the United Mexican U.S. tournament. If Kramnik doesn't win inward Mexico, of course, together with thus it is Kramnik who gets the rematch together with Topalov must accept his chances inward the adjacent footing entitle cycle. But he won't live the get-go or the lastly highly-rated actor to lead maintain to sit down on the sidelines for a yr or two.
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